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  • Predicted weight loss: 176 lbs man reducing calorie intake by 500 calories per day is 47 lbs

    Posted by .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
    Wednesday, December 10, 2008 7:31 am Email this article
    The predicted weight loss for a 40-year-old, 176 pound sedentary man who does not change his physical activity, but reduces his calorie intake is as follows according to a new model by Kevin D. Hall and Peter N. Jordan from the National Institutes of Health in Bethesda, Maryland, USA:


    Hall KD, Jordan PN. Modeling weight-loss maintenance to help prevent body weight regain. AJCN. 2008 Dec, 88(6):1459-68.


    Kevin D. Hall
    National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases
    National Institutes of Health
    12A South Drive, Room 4007
    Bethesda, MD 20892-5621 USA
    .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)

    Articles on the same subject can be found here:


    On Dec 09, 2008 at 7:09 pm caddie wrote:

    . . . . .

    Interesting. Did the article say how long it would take for that amount of loss? Also, does it contain info for lower weights than those mentioned? Thanks, as always.

    On Dec 09, 2008 at 11:15 pm Larry Hobbs wrote:

    . . . . .


    No, I don't think they said how long, but I will have to look through the paper again to be sure.

    I will post more predicted weight losses with different weights for both men and women tomorrow.

    I was going to post them all today, but had to leave before I finished.

    On Apr 07, 2009 at 4:45 pm robert skversky wrote:

    . . . . .

    Larry, Comparing this article to the recently published NEJM article in which caloric intake was decreased by ?750 calories/day with average weight loss (including exercise) of @ 10 pounds after 2 years suggests how meaningless Kevin Hall's "predicted" weight loss chart is. Another reason why calories in/calories out as the criteria for weight loss is useless from this physicians perspective. Robert Would like to know if there are studies showing actual weight loss associated with "starvation" protests when only water is consumed vs what Hall would predict.

    On Apr 07, 2009 at 4:56 pm Larry Hobbs wrote:

    . . . . .


    I agree that there predictions seem unrealistic.

    I don't know if studies with forced starvation have been done.

    When people are starved, they also reduce their movement to almost nothing to preserve energy.

    Please feel free to share your comments about this article.




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